College Football
strong pickSpread
Duke at Illinois
Our pick: Duke +6
Official resultwinDuke 31, Illinois 27
Projected scoreIllinois 27, Duke 25
Adjusted ratings make the teams much closer than six points, while Illinois has two material offensive absences.
Projected marginIllinois by 2
Illinois unavailable startersBrandon Henderson and Jayshon Platt
Why the data points here
- Opponent-adjusted ratings
- Illinois personnel losses
- Six-point cushion